Welterweight
3 Rounds
Neil Magny won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 19, 2016·Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Style matchupHector Lombard: Well-roundedvsNeil Magny: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Hector Lombard wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Hector Lombard
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
48
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector LombardMetricNeil Magny
3.02
Strikes / min
3.40
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
53%
Strike defense
51%
1.69
TDs / 15 min
2.17
77%
Takedown defense
55%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector LombardNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Lombard(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-87.787.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+616.0-616.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37