Middleweight
3 Rounds
Hector Lombard won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Style matchupHector Lombard: Well-roundedvsRousimar Palhares: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Hector Lombard wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Hector Lombard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Rousimar Palhares has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Hector Lombard has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Hector Lombard
Red Corner
VS
Rousimar Palhares
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
48
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Rousimar Palhares
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs David Branch · Mar 11W
vs Dan Miller · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · Jan 12L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector LombardMetricRousimar Palhares
3.02
Strikes / min
1.75
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.04
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.69
TDs / 15 min
3.93
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
4.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector LombardRousimar Palhares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Lombard(10 fights)Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-48.348.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Rousimar Palhares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8