Middleweight
3 Rounds
Tim Boetsch won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 21, 2012·Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Style matchupHector Lombard: Well-roundedvsTim Boetsch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Hector Lombard wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Tim Boetsch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Hector Lombard
Red Corner
VS
Tim Boetsch
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
48
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector LombardMetricTim Boetsch
3.02
Strikes / min
2.93
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
53%
Strike defense
57%
1.69
TDs / 15 min
1.45
77%
Takedown defense
59%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector LombardTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Lombard(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-56.156.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.1-48.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Tim Boetsch
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights20