Flyweight
3 Rounds
Hector Sandoval won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupHector Sandoval: WrestlervsFredy Serrano: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Hector Sandoval wins(79.5%)
Actual result: Hector Sandoval wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fredy Serrano is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Hector Sandoval has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Hector Sandoval
Red Corner
VS
Fredy Serrano
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
39
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'3"
162.56 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector Sandoval
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Jul 16W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Apr 17L
KOvs Dustin Ortiz · Aug 17Fredy Serrano
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Bentley Syler · Mar 15W
KOvs Yao Zhikui · Nov 15L
vs Ryan Benoit · Jul 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector SandovalMetricFredy Serrano
3.31
Strikes / min
1.58
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
1.89
65%
Strike defense
61%
3.49
TDs / 15 min
2.84
71%
Takedown defense
84%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.98Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-0.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector SandovalFredy Serrano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Sandoval(4 fights)Fredy Serrano(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.827.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Hector Sandoval
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4
Fredy Serrano
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4