Flyweight
3 Rounds
Hector Sandoval won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2017·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupHector Sandoval: WrestlervsMatt Schnell: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Hector Sandoval wins(71.7%)
Actual result: Hector Sandoval wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Sandoval is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Matt Schnell has lost 56% of fights by KO.
- Matt Schnell threatens submissions; Hector Sandoval has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Hector Sandoval has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Hector Sandoval has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Matt Schnell has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Hector Sandoval
Red Corner
VS
Matt Schnell
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector Sandoval
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Jul 16W
vs Fredy Serrano · Dec 16L
KOvs Dustin Ortiz · Aug 17Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector SandovalMetricMatt Schnell
3.31
Strikes / min
4.07
2.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
65%
Strike defense
55%
3.49
TDs / 15 min
0.60
71%
Takedown defense
43%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.98Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap-0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector SandovalMatt Schnell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Sandoval(4 fights)Matt Schnell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.9-17.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Hector Sandoval
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16