Welterweight
3 Rounds
Bartosz Fabinski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 21, 2015·Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Bartosz Fabinski wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Bartosz Fabinski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bartosz Fabinski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hector Urbina threatens submissions; Bartosz Fabinski has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Hector Urbina
Red Corner
VS
Bartosz Fabinski
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector Urbina
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edgar Garcia · Nov 14L
KOvs Vicente Luque · Sep 16Bartosz FabinskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Garreth McLellan · Apr 15W
vs Emil Meek · Jul 18L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Nov 18L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · Sep 20L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector UrbinaMetricBartosz Fabinski
0.97
Strikes / min
2.23
2.44
Strikes absorbed / min
1.46
39%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
7.10
38%
Takedown defense
80%
3.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.47Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector UrbinaBartosz Fabinski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Urbina(3 fights)Bartosz Fabinski(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Hector Urbina
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Bartosz Fabinski
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6