Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Paul Craig won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupHenrique da Silva: StrikervsPaul Craig: Submission grappler
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Henrique da Silva wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Paul Craig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henrique da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Henrique da Silva is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Paul Craig has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Henrique da Silva
Red Corner
VS
Paul Craig
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
36
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henrique da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Jun 16W
SUBvs Joachim Christensen · Oct 16L
vs Jordan Johnson · Jan 17L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 17L
KOvs Gokhan Saki · Sep 17Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Bo Nickal · Nov 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henrique da SilvaMetricPaul Craig
3.89
Strikes / min
2.50
5.28
Strikes absorbed / min
3.04
40%
Strike defense
43%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
1.43
22%
Takedown defense
35%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.39evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Henrique da SilvaPaul Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henrique da Silva(6 fights)Paul Craig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.347.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Henrique da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Paul Craig
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights20