Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Henry Cejudo won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 9, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupHenry Cejudo: Well-roundedvsDominick Cruz: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Henry Cejudo wins(76.6%)
Actual result: Henry Cejudo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dominick Cruz has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dominick Cruz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Henry Cejudo
Red Corner
VS
Dominick Cruz
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 19L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Song Yadong · Feb 25L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25Dominick Cruz
oldest →latest
W
vs Urijah Faber · Jun 16L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henry CejudoMetricDominick Cruz
3.83
Strikes / min
3.91
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
57%
Strike defense
70%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
2.82
72%
Takedown defense
83%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.01Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Henry CejudoDominick Cruz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Dominick Cruz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.8-55.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-890.0890.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Henry Cejudo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights16
Dominick Cruz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10