Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Henry Cejudo has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Dustin Kimura has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25 Dustin Kimura
oldest →W
SUBvs Chico Camus · Feb 13L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 13W
SUBvs Jon Delos Reyes · Jan 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henry CejudoMetricDustin Kimura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.01Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-2.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Henry CejudoDustin Kimura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Dustin Kimura(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +119.5|Blue -119.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.3|Blue -49.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Henry CejudoTargetDustin Kimura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:20
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
