Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Henry Cejudo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 13, 2014·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupHenry Cejudo: Well-roundedvsDustin Kimura: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Henry Cejudo wins(71.7%)
Actual result: Henry Cejudo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Henry Cejudo has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Dustin Kimura has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Henry Cejudo
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Kimura
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Song Yadong · Feb 25L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25Dustin Kimura
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chico Camus · Feb 13L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 13W
SUBvs Jon Delos Reyes · Jan 14L
vs George Roop · Apr 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henry CejudoMetricDustin Kimura
3.83
Strikes / min
1.33
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
57%
Strike defense
51%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.93
72%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
2.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.01Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-2.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Henry CejudoDustin Kimura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Dustin Kimura(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.3-49.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Henry Cejudo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights16
Dustin Kimura
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5