Bantamweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Henry Cejudo won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2019·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Henry Cejudo wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Henry Cejudo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marlon Moraes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Henry Cejudo has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Henry Cejudo
Red Corner
VS
Marlon Moraes
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Song Yadong · Feb 25L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25Marlon MoraesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jose Aldo · Dec 19L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 20L
KOvs Rob Font · Dec 20L
KOvs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 21L
KOvs Song Yadong · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henry CejudoMetricMarlon Moraes
3.83
Strikes / min
3.37
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.87
72%
Takedown defense
46%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.01Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Henry CejudoMarlon Moraes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Marlon Moraes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.7-46.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Henry Cejudo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights16
Marlon Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11