Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Payton Talbott won · U-DEC R3
HC
PT
Henry CejudovsPayton Talbott
UFC Event · Saturday, December 6, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupHenry Cejudo: Well-roundedvsPayton Talbott: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Henry Cejudo wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Payton Talbott wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Henry Cejudo has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Payton Talbott (52.9%).
- Payton Talbott has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Henry Cejudo
Red Corner
VS
Payton Talbott
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
39
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'4"
Height
5'10"
162.56 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henry CejudoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 19W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Song Yadong · Feb 25Payton Talbott
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Nick Aguirre · Nov 23W
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Mar 24W
KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Jun 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 25W
vs Felipe Lima · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henry CejudoMetricPayton Talbott
3.83
Strikes / min
6.62
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.41
57%
Strike defense
46%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.78
72%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.01Δ 3.22 — meaningful gap+3.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Henry CejudoPayton Talbott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Payton Talbott(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.8-45.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Henry Cejudo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights16
Payton Talbott
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6