Featherweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Pineda won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupHerbert Burns: WrestlervsDaniel Pineda: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Daniel Pineda wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Daniel Pineda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Herbert Burns has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Herbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Pineda
Blue Corner
-286
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Herbert BurnsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jan 20W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 22L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24L
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Aug 24Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Herbert BurnsMetricDaniel Pineda
1.86
Strikes / min
2.85
5.17
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
41%
Strike defense
45%
2.94
TDs / 15 min
1.42
66%
Takedown defense
54%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.31Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Herbert BurnsDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Herbert Burns(6 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.3-51.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-2275.02275.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
Herbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13