Featherweight
3 Rounds
Herbert Burns won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 25, 2020·Raleigh, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupHerbert Burns: WrestlervsNate Landwehr: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Nate Landwehr wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Herbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Herbert Burns is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nate Landwehr has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Nate Landwehr has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Herbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Nate Landwehr
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Herbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Aug 20L
KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 22L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24L
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Aug 24Nate LandwehrL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Austin Lingo · Mar 23L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 23W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Herbert BurnsMetricNate Landwehr
1.86
Strikes / min
5.55
5.17
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
41%
Strike defense
51%
2.94
TDs / 15 min
0.73
66%
Takedown defense
71%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.31Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Herbert BurnsNate Landwehr
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Herbert Burns(6 fights)Nate Landwehr(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Herbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Nate Landwehr
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10