Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Holly Holm won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, October 3, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupHolly Holm: Well-roundedvsIrene Aldana: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Holly Holm wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Holly Holm
Red Corner
VS
Irene Aldana
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+103
(49%)
44
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22W
vs Yana Santos · Mar 23L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24Irene Aldana
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23W
vs Karol Rosa · Dec 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricIrene Aldana
3.13
Strikes / min
5.19
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
6.64
55%
Strike defense
56%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.15
76%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Holly HolmIrene Aldana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.89.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Holly Holm
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15
Irene Aldana
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14