Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Kayla Harrison won · SUB R2
HH
KH
Holly HolmvsKayla Harrison
UFC Event · Saturday, April 13, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupHolly Holm: Well-roundedvsKayla Harrison: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Kayla Harrison wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kayla Harrison has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kayla Harrison has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Holly Holm
Red Corner
VS
Kayla Harrison
Blue Corner
+350
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-455
(82%)
44
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22W
vs Yana Santos · Mar 23Kayla HarrisonW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Oct 24W
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricKayla Harrison
3.13
Strikes / min
4.29
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
1.10
55%
Strike defense
66%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
2.84
76%
Takedown defense
100%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap+3.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Holly HolmKayla Harrison
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Kayla Harrison(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+42.9-42.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Holly Holm
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15
Kayla Harrison
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3