Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Holly Holm won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 15, 2015·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Holly Holm wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Holly Holm has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Holly Holm
Red Corner
VS
Marion Reneau
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
44
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →latest
W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22W
vs Yana Santos · Mar 23L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricMarion Reneau
3.13
Strikes / min
3.20
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
55%
Strike defense
59%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.62
76%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Holly HolmMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-6.06.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.72.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Holly Holm
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15
Marion Reneau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12