Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Holly Holm won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 18, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupHolly Holm: Well-roundedvsRaquel Pennington: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Holly Holm wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Holly Holm
Red Corner
VS
Raquel Pennington
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
44
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22W
vs Yana Santos · Mar 23L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24Raquel Pennington
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricRaquel Pennington
3.13
Strikes / min
4.10
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.83
76%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Holly HolmRaquel Pennington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.937.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Holly Holm
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15
Raquel Pennington
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19