Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Holly Holm won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 25, 2023·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Holly Holm wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Holly Holm has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Holly Holm
Red Corner
VS
Yana Santos
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
44
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly HolmL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24Yana SantosW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Karol Rosa · Jul 23W
vs Chelsea Chandler · Aug 24W
vs Miesha Tate · May 25W
vs Macy Chiasson · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricYana Santos
3.13
Strikes / min
4.41
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.12
55%
Strike defense
52%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.78
76%
Takedown defense
51%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.21Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Holly HolmYana Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Yana Santos(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.2-28.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.947.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Holly Holm
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15
Yana Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5