Flyweight
3 Rounds
HyunSung Park won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 17, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupHyunSung Park: Submission grapplervsCarlos Hernandez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: HyunSung Park wins(62.3%)
Actual result: HyunSung Park wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- HyunSung Park threatens submissions; Carlos Hernandez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Carlos Hernandez has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
HyunSung Park
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Hernandez
Blue Corner
-194
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+162
(38%)
30
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
HyunSung ParkL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs SeungGuk Choi · Feb 23W
KOvs Shannon Ross · Dec 23L
SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Aug 25L
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 25Carlos Hernandez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Jan 23W
vs Denys Bondar · Jun 23L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 23L
vs Rei Tsuruya · Jun 24W
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
HyunSung ParkMetricCarlos Hernandez
3.38
Strikes / min
3.83
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
55%
Strike defense
50%
1.50
TDs / 15 min
1.56
47%
Takedown defense
65%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
HyunSung ParkCarlos Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
HyunSung Park(5 fights)Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.4-28.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+350.0-350.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
HyunSung Park
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5
Carlos Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7