Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ian Heinisch enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Ian Heinisch has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
- Gerald Meerschaert has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ian HeinischL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · May 19L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21 Gerald MeerschaertL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25L
DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ian HeinischMetricGerald Meerschaert
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ian HeinischGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ian Heinisch(7 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -55.6|Blue +55.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ian HeinischTargetGerald Meerschaert
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Gerald Meerschaert rounds
Round 1Ian Heinisch edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
