Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ian Heinisch won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIan Heinisch: Well-roundedvsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Ian Heinisch wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Ian Heinisch wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ian Heinisch enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ian Heinisch has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
- Gerald Meerschaert has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ian Heinisch
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ian HeinischL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · May 19L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ian HeinischMetricGerald Meerschaert
3.25
Strikes / min
2.95
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
59%
Strike defense
53%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.70
59%
Takedown defense
40%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ian HeinischGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ian Heinisch(7 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-20.420.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ian Heinisch
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25