Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ian Machado Garry won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIan Machado Garry: Well-roundedvsSong Kenan: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Ian Machado Garry wins(66.6%)
Actual result: Ian Machado Garry wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Ian Machado Garry
Red Corner
VS
Song Kenan
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
28
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ian Machado GarryW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Geoff Neal · Feb 24W
vs Michael Page · Jun 24L
vs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 24W
vs Carlos Prates · Apr 25W
vs Belal Muhammad · Nov 25Song Kenan
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Max Griffin · Mar 21W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23L
vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23W
vs Ricky Glenn · Aug 24L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ian Machado GarryMetricSong Kenan
4.78
Strikes / min
4.49
2.86
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.92
TDs / 15 min
0.42
80%
Takedown defense
73%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.92Δ 3.25 — meaningful gap-1.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ian Machado GarrySong Kenan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ian Machado Garry(8 fights)Song Kenan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.027.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.2-49.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Ian Machado Garry
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8
Song Kenan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11