Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Iasmin Lucindo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Iasmin Lucindo wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Iasmin Lucindo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Iasmin Lucindo has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Iasmin Lucindo has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brogan Walker (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Iasmin Lucindo
Red Corner
VS
Brogan Walker
Blue Corner
-375
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
24
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'3"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iasmin Lucindo
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 23W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 24W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Oct 24L
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 25W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 25Brogan WalkerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Juliana Miller · Aug 22L
vs Veronica Hardy · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iasmin LucindoMetricBrogan Walker
3.22
Strikes / min
1.84
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
62%
Strike defense
47%
2.28
TDs / 15 min
1.02
68%
Takedown defense
11%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.42Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Iasmin LucindoBrogan Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iasmin Lucindo(7 fights)Brogan Walker(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Iasmin Lucindo
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7
Brogan Walker
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3