Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tofiq Musayev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 28, 2026·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupIgnacio Bahamondes: Pressure fightervsTofiq Musayev: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Tofiq Musayev wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Tofiq Musayev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ignacio Bahamondes has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ignacio Bahamondes has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ignacio Bahamondes
Red Corner
VS
Tofiq Musayev
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
28
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ignacio Bahamondes
oldest →latest
L
vs Ludovit Klein · Aug 23W
KOvs Christos Giagos · Apr 24W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Sep 24W
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Mar 25L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 25Tofiq Musayev
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Myktybek Orolbai · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ignacio BahamondesMetricTofiq Musayev
5.99
Strikes / min
1.84
4.07
Strikes absorbed / min
1.74
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.30
70%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.92Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ignacio BahamondesTofiq Musayev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ignacio Bahamondes(10 fights)Tofiq Musayev(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+67.2-67.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Ignacio Bahamondes
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Tofiq Musayev
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2