Welterweight
3 Rounds
George Sullivan won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 13, 2014·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Igor Araujo wins(52.8%)
Actual result: George Sullivan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- George Sullivan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- George Sullivan has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Igor Araujo has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Igor Araujo
Red Corner
VS
George Sullivan
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor Araujo
oldest →latest
W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Oct 13W
vs Danny Mitchell · Mar 14L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 15George SullivanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tim Means · Apr 15W
vs Dominic Waters · Jul 15L
KOvs Alexander Yakovlev · Jan 16L
SUBvs Niko Price · Jan 18L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor AraujoMetricGeorge Sullivan
1.52
Strikes / min
3.53
2.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
49%
Strike defense
57%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
1.37
22%
Takedown defense
38%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.34Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Igor AraujoGeorge Sullivan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Araujo(4 fights)George Sullivan(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.2-19.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Igor Araujo
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4
George Sullivan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7