Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Strickland has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean Strickland has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor Araujo
oldest →W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Oct 13W
vs Danny Mitchell · Mar 14L
KOvs George Sullivan · Sep 14 Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor AraujoMetricSean Strickland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.34Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap+1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Igor AraujoSean Strickland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Araujo(4 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -174.0|Blue +174.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +162.0|Blue -162.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Igor AraujoTargetSean Strickland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
40Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:30Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:18
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:27Control
Round 3Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
