Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Igor Pokrajac won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Tuesday, May 15, 2012·Fairfax, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Igor Pokrajac wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Igor Pokrajac wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Fabio Maldonado has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Igor Pokrajac
Red Corner
VS
Fabio Maldonado
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
47
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor PokrajacL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13L
vs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Gian Villante · Mar 14L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14W
KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14L
vs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor PokrajacMetricFabio Maldonado
2.25
Strikes / min
5.29
4.26
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
40%
Strike defense
53%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.44
51%
Takedown defense
61%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Igor PokrajacFabio Maldonado
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.3-30.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-189.0189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Igor Pokrajac
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10
Fabio Maldonado
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11