Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jan Blachowicz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, April 10, 2016·Zagreb, Croatia, Croatia
Model Prediction: Igor Pokrajac wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Jan Blachowicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jan Blachowicz has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jan Blachowicz has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jan Blachowicz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Igor Pokrajac
Red Corner
VS
Jan Blachowicz
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
47
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor PokrajacL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabio Maldonado · May 12L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13L
vs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14Jan Blachowicz
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor PokrajacMetricJan Blachowicz
2.25
Strikes / min
3.55
4.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
40%
Strike defense
52%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.98
51%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Igor PokrajacJan Blachowicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.48.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+259.0-259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Igor Pokrajac
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10
Jan Blachowicz
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21