Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Vinny Magalhaes won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2012·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Igor Pokrajac wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Vinny Magalhaes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Igor Pokrajac is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Vinny Magalhaes has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Vinny Magalhaes has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Vinny Magalhaes has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Igor Pokrajac
Red Corner
VS
Vinny Magalhaes
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor PokrajacL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabio Maldonado · May 12L
vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13L
vs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16Vinny MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Phil Davis · Apr 13L
KOvs Anthony Perosh · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor PokrajacMetricVinny Magalhaes
2.25
Strikes / min
2.14
4.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
40%
Strike defense
68%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
1.55
51%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01evenly matched on net striking-1.83
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Igor PokrajacVinny Magalhaes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)Vinny Magalhaes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.1-45.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Igor Pokrajac
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10
Vinny Magalhaes
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3