Flyweight
3 Rounds
Andre Lima won · DQ R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIgor Severino: WrestlervsAndre Lima: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Igor Severino wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Andre Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Lima enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Andre Lima has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andre Lima has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Igor Severino
Red Corner
VS
Andre Lima
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
23
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor SeverinoNo prior UFC fights on record.
Andre LimaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mitch Raposo · Jun 24W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 24W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor SeverinoMetricAndre Lima
7.17
Strikes / min
4.06
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
2.49
47%
Strike defense
57%
9.69
TDs / 15 min
1.36
50%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.84Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Igor SeverinoAndre Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Severino(1 fights)Andre Lima(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Igor Severino
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1
Andre Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4