Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ike Villanueva won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 20, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupIke Villanueva: Well-roundedvsVinicius Moreira: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Ike Villanueva wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Ike Villanueva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ike Villanueva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Vinicius Moreira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ike Villanueva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Vinicius Moreira has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Ike Villanueva has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ike Villanueva
Red Corner
VS
Vinicius Moreira
Blue Corner
-134
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ike VillanuevaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chase Sherman · May 20L
KOvs Jordan Wright · Aug 20L
KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Jun 21L
KOvs Nicolae Negumereanu · Oct 21L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22Vinicius MoreiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Jan 19L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Jun 19L
SUBvs Paul Craig · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ike VillanuevaMetricVinicius Moreira
3.66
Strikes / min
3.15
7.24
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
36%
Strike defense
43%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
1.97
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.58Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-1.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ike VillanuevaVinicius Moreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ike Villanueva(6 fights)Vinicius Moreira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.6-16.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-336.0336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Ike Villanueva
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Vinicius Moreira
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4