Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ikram Aliskerov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 21, 2023·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupIkram Aliskerov: WrestlervsWarlley Alves: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ikram Aliskerov wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Ikram Aliskerov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ikram Aliskerov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ikram Aliskerov (53.5%).
- Ikram Aliskerov has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ikram Aliskerov
Red Corner
VS
Warlley Alves
Blue Corner
-700
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
33
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ikram AliskerovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Phil Hawes · May 23L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jun 24W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Apr 25W
vs JunYong Park · Oct 25Warlley AlvesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Nov 19W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ikram AliskerovMetricWarlley Alves
6.86
Strikes / min
3.04
5.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
41%
Strike defense
50%
3.20
TDs / 15 min
1.22
100%
Takedown defense
62%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ikram AliskerovWarlley Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ikram Aliskerov(5 fights)Warlley Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.04.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ikram Aliskerov
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16