Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ilia Topuria won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 5, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIlia Topuria: Submission grapplervsDamon Jackson: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Ilia Topuria wins(73.2%)
Actual result: Ilia Topuria wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilia Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ilia Topuria has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilia Topuria has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Ilia Topuria
Red Corner
VS
Damon Jackson
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
29
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ilia TopuriaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Dec 22W
vs Josh Emmett · Jun 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 24W
KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 24W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 25Damon JacksonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dan Ige · Jan 23L
vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ilia TopuriaMetricDamon Jackson
4.81
Strikes / min
2.96
3.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
64%
Strike defense
49%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
2.30
93%
Takedown defense
37%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.98Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ilia TopuriaDamon Jackson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ilia Topuria(9 fights)Damon Jackson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.7-18.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Ilia Topuria
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9
Damon Jackson
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12