Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ilir Latifi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIlir Latifi: WrestlervsAleksei Oleinik: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Aleksei Oleinik wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilir Latifi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ilir Latifi
Red Corner
VS
Aleksei Oleinik
Blue Corner
-195
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
43
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ilir Latifi
oldest →latest
L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabricio Werdum · May 20L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ilir LatifiMetricAleksei Oleinik
2.05
Strikes / min
3.29
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
56%
Strike defense
44%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
1.82
100%
Takedown defense
37%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ilir LatifiAleksei Oleinik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.6-9.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Ilir Latifi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17