Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rodrigo Nascimento won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 20, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIlir Latifi: WrestlervsRodrigo Nascimento: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ilir Latifi wins(50.2%)
Actual result: Rodrigo Nascimento wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilir Latifi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Rodrigo Nascimento has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ilir Latifi
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Nascimento
Blue Corner
+166
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-198
(66%)
43
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ilir LatifiW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jul 21W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ilir LatifiMetricRodrigo Nascimento
2.05
Strikes / min
3.71
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
56%
Strike defense
44%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
1.02
100%
Takedown defense
60%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ilir LatifiRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.5-19.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Ilir Latifi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16
Rodrigo Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8