Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ion Cutelaba won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 28, 2024·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Model Prediction: Ivan Erslan wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Ion Cutelaba wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ion Cutelaba
Red Corner
VS
Ivan Erslan
Blue Corner
-102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-118
(54%)
32
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ion Cutelaba
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tanner Boser · Apr 23L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25W
SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26Ivan ErslanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Navajo Stirling · May 25L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ion CutelabaMetricIvan Erslan
4.23
Strikes / min
2.55
3.28
Strikes absorbed / min
5.01
47%
Strike defense
53%
3.76
TDs / 15 min
0.45
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 3.41 — meaningful gap-2.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ion CutelabaIvan Erslan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Ivan Erslan(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-30.530.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Ion Cutelaba
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19
Ivan Erslan
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3