Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Irene Aldana won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIrene Aldana: Pressure fightervsKarol Rosa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Irene Aldana wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Irene Aldana wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Irene Aldana
Red Corner
VS
Karol Rosa
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Irene AldanaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Holly Holm · Oct 20W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24Karol Rosa
oldest →latest
L
vs Norma Dumont · Apr 23W
vs Yana Santos · Jul 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24L
vs Ailin Perez · Jan 25W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Irene AldanaMetricKarol Rosa
5.19
Strikes / min
5.88
6.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
1.17
77%
Takedown defense
70%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.45Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Irene AldanaKarol Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Irene Aldana(10 fights)Karol Rosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.7-4.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Irene Aldana
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Karol Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11