Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Irene Aldana won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIrene Aldana: Pressure fightervsMacy Chiasson: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Irene Aldana wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Irene Aldana has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Irene Aldana has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Macy Chiasson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Irene Aldana
Red Corner
VS
Macy Chiasson
Blue Corner
-195
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Irene Aldana
oldest →latest
L
vs Holly Holm · Oct 20W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23W
vs Karol Rosa · Dec 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25L
vs Yana Santos · Oct 25L
vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Irene AldanaMetricMacy Chiasson
5.19
Strikes / min
3.21
6.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
56%
Strike defense
44%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
1.87
77%
Takedown defense
62%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.45Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Irene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Irene Aldana(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.617.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+301.0-301.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Irene Aldana
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Macy Chiasson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14