Lightweight
3 Rounds
Islam Makhachev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2019·Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Russia
Style matchupIslam Makhachev: WrestlervsArman Tsarukyan: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(78.2%)
Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Islam Makhachev has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Islam Makhachev
Red Corner
VS
Arman Tsarukyan
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25Arman TsarukyanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23W
vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Islam MakhachevMetricArman Tsarukyan
2.45
Strikes / min
3.85
1.45
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
61%
Strike defense
54%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
3.26
91%
Takedown defense
75%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Islam MakhachevArman Tsarukyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Islam Makhachev(10 fights)Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+81.0-81.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Islam Makhachev
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18
Arman Tsarukyan
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11