Catch Weight
5 Rounds
Islam Makhachev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(70.1%)
Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Islam Makhachev (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Islam Makhachev
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
-760
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+525
(16%)
34
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25Bobby Green
oldest →latest
L
vs Thiago Moises · Oct 20L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Islam MakhachevMetricBobby Green
2.45
Strikes / min
—
1.45
Strikes absorbed / min
—
61%
Strike defense
—
3.10
TDs / 15 min
—
91%
Takedown defense
—
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Islam MakhachevBobby Green
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Islam Makhachev(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+98.2-98.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Islam Makhachev
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18
Bobby Green
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9