Lightweight
3 Rounds
Islam Makhachev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 20, 2018·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupIslam Makhachev: WrestlervsGleison Tibau: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Islam Makhachev wins(74.3%)
Actual result: Islam Makhachev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gleison Tibau (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Islam Makhachev
Red Corner
VS
Gleison Tibau
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
34
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25Gleison TibauL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Piotr Hallmann · Sep 14W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
vs Desmond Green · Jun 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Islam MakhachevMetricGleison Tibau
2.45
Strikes / min
1.95
1.45
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
61%
Strike defense
63%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
4.08
91%
Takedown defense
92%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Islam MakhachevGleison Tibau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Islam Makhachev(10 fights)Gleison Tibau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.48.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-462.0462.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Islam Makhachev
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18
Gleison Tibau
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18