Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tonight
Elo1474
Elo1496
Ismael BonfimvsAxel SolaUFC Prediction
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Fight begins in
Style matchup
The model's pick for this fight is locked
Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.
Unlock every pick — $9/monthScouting Report
- Axel Sola is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ismael Bonfim has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Ismael Bonfim has 76pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ismael Bonfim
Axel Sola
+163
Vegas Odds
-196
1474
1496
30
28
Orthodox
Southpaw
5'8"
6'0"
180.34 cm
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Ismael Bonfim
oldest →
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jan 23
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jul 23
vs Vinc Pichel · May 24
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 25
KOvs Chris Padilla · Nov 25
latestAxel Sola
oldest →
KOvs Rhys McKee · Sep 25
vs Mason Jones · Mar 26
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Ismael BonfimMetricAxel Sola
5.51
Strikes / min
4.07
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
5.29
65%
Strike defense
61%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
2.22
76%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Ismael BonfimAxel Sola
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Ismael Bonfim
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Axel Sola
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2