Lightweight
3 Rounds
Benoit Saint Denis won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 1, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupIsmael Bonfim: Pressure fightervsBenoit Saint Denis: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(50.0%)
Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Ismael Bonfim is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Benoit Saint Denis has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Ismael Bonfim has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis threatens submissions; Ismael Bonfim has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ismael Bonfim has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ismael Bonfim
Red Corner
VS
Benoit Saint Denis
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismael BonfimL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jan 23W
vs Vinc Pichel · May 24L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 25L
KOvs Chris Padilla · Nov 25Benoit Saint DenisW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismael BonfimMetricBenoit Saint Denis
5.51
Strikes / min
5.62
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
65%
Strike defense
42%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
4.19
76%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80evenly matched on net striking+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ismael BonfimBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismael Bonfim(5 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.21.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Ismael Bonfim
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Benoit Saint Denis
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12