Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ismael Bonfim enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Ismael Bonfim has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ismael Bonfim has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismael BonfimL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jan 23L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jul 23L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 25L
KOvs Chris Padilla · Nov 25L
SUBvs Axel Sola · Jul 26 Vinc PichelL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Jun 19W
vs Austin Hubbard · Aug 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismael BonfimMetricVinc Pichel
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.80Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ismael BonfimVinc Pichel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismael Bonfim(6 fights)Vinc Pichel(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -37.3|Blue +37.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -448.0|Blue +448.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ismael BonfimTargetVinc Pichel
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ismael Bonfim edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:02
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Ismael Bonfim edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Ismael Bonfim edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns1
Control0:28
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
