Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ismael Bonfim won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupIsmael Bonfim: Pressure fightervsVinc Pichel: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Ismael Bonfim wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Ismael Bonfim wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ismael Bonfim has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ismael Bonfim has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ismael Bonfim
Red Corner
VS
Vinc Pichel
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
30
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismael BonfimL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jan 23L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jul 23L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 25L
KOvs Chris Padilla · Nov 25Vinc PichelL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Jun 19W
vs Jim Miller · Aug 20W
vs Austin Hubbard · Aug 21L
vs Mark Madsen · Apr 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismael BonfimMetricVinc Pichel
5.51
Strikes / min
3.78
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
65%
Strike defense
54%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
2.50
76%
Takedown defense
31%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ismael BonfimVinc Pichel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismael Bonfim(5 fights)Vinc Pichel(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-67.467.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-448.0448.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Ismael Bonfim
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Vinc Pichel
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12