Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chance Rencountre won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ismail Naurdiev wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Chance Rencountre wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ismail Naurdiev has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ismail Naurdiev has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chance Rencountre (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ismail Naurdiev
Red Corner
VS
Chance Rencountre
Blue Corner
-570
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+435
(19%)
29
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismail Naurdiev
oldest →latest
W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Sep 19L
vs Sean Brady · Feb 20W
vs Bruno Silva · Oct 24L
vs JunYong Park · Jun 25W
KOvs Ryan Loder · Nov 25Chance Rencountre
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 18W
SUBvs Kyle Stewart · Jan 19L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismail NaurdievMetricChance Rencountre
3.66
Strikes / min
1.10
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
64%
Strike defense
49%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.35
73%
Takedown defense
16%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.91Δ 4.43 — meaningful gap-2.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ismail NaurdievChance Rencountre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismail Naurdiev(7 fights)Chance Rencountre(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.8-21.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ismail Naurdiev
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Chance Rencountre
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4