Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ismail Naurdiev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 22, 2025·Doha, Qatar, Qatar
Style matchupIsmail Naurdiev: Elusive strikervsRyan Loder: Submission grappler
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: Ryan Loder wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Ismail Naurdiev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ismail Naurdiev has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ryan Loder has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan Loder (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ismail Naurdiev
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Loder
Blue Corner
-124
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+106
(49%)
29
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ismail Naurdiev
oldest →latest
L
vs Chance Rencountre · Jul 19W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Sep 19L
vs Sean Brady · Feb 20W
vs Bruno Silva · Oct 24L
vs JunYong Park · Jun 25Ryan Loder
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Robert Valentin · Aug 24L
KOvs Azamat Bekoev · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ismail NaurdievMetricRyan Loder
3.66
Strikes / min
5.10
1.75
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
64%
Strike defense
50%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.37
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.91evenly matched on net striking+2.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ismail NaurdievRyan Loder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ismail Naurdiev(7 fights)Ryan Loder(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.8-7.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Ismail Naurdiev
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7
Ryan Loder
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3