Middleweight
5 Rounds
Joe Pyfer won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 28, 2026·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Style matchupIsrael Adesanya: StrikervsJoe Pyfer: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins(54.1%)
Actual result: Joe Pyfer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Pyfer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Joe Pyfer is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Israel Adesanya has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Israel Adesanya
Red Corner
VS
Joe Pyfer
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+102
(50%)
36
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 22W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25Joe PyferW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Oct 23L
vs Jack Hermansson · Feb 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 24W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 25W
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricJoe Pyfer
4.03
Strikes / min
3.52
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
55%
Strike defense
52%
0.05
TDs / 15 min
1.45
76%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Israel AdesanyaJoe Pyfer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Joe Pyfer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.0-36.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+245.0-245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Joe Pyfer
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8