Middleweight
5 Rounds
Nassourdine Imavov won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2025·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupIsrael Adesanya: StrikervsNassourdine Imavov: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Israel Adesanya
Red Corner
VS
Nassourdine Imavov
Blue Corner
-158
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+134
(43%)
36
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 22W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Nassourdine ImavovW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 23W
vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24W
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24W
vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24W
vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricNassourdine Imavov
4.03
Strikes / min
4.28
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.05
TDs / 15 min
0.74
76%
Takedown defense
81%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Israel AdesanyaNassourdine Imavov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.3-39.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Nassourdine Imavov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11