Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Israel Adesanya won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, September 26, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupIsrael Adesanya: StrikervsPaulo Costa: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Israel Adesanya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Paulo Costa is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Israel Adesanya has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Israel Adesanya
Red Corner
VS
Paulo Costa
Blue Corner
-186
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+151
(40%)
36
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Paulo Costa
oldest →latest
L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 21W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricPaulo Costa
4.03
Strikes / min
6.15
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
55%
Strike defense
49%
0.05
TDs / 15 min
0.30
76%
Takedown defense
77%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Israel AdesanyaPaulo Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Paulo Costa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+62.9-62.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11