Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Israel Adesanya won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupIsrael Adesanya: StrikervsRobert Whittaker: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Israel Adesanya wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Israel Adesanya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Israel Adesanya
Red Corner
VS
Robert Whittaker
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
36
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
203.2 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricRobert Whittaker
4.03
Strikes / min
4.39
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
3.36
55%
Strike defense
59%
0.05
TDs / 15 min
0.73
76%
Takedown defense
82%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Israel AdesanyaRobert Whittaker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Robert Whittaker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.524.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24