Middleweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Sean Strickland won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, September 9, 2023·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupIsrael Adesanya: StrikervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Sean Strickland wins(50.5%)
Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (52.9%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Israel Adesanya
Red Corner
VS
Sean Strickland
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+410
(20%)
36
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 22W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Sean Strickland
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Jul 23L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24W
vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricSean Strickland
4.03
Strikes / min
5.98
3.22
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.05
TDs / 15 min
0.66
76%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking+1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Israel AdesanyaSean Strickland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+56.0-56.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Sean Strickland
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24